The XRP price is trading around $1.35, up roughly 1.9% over 24 hours, but the calm on the surface masks a more complex reality below. On-chain metrics have dropped sharply, derivatives positioning is thin, and Goldman Sachs has quietly removed XRP-linked ETF exposure from its latest 13F filing, a combination that has analysts watching closely for what breaks first.

XRP is consolidating near $1.36–$1.40, while total daily transactions fell roughly 20% over the past three months to approximately 1.78 million.

Binance funding rates have slipped into negative territory to around -0.003, signaling a slight bearish lean, though leverage sits at just 0.169–0.173, well below the six-month peak of 0.260.

Liquidations have effectively vanished, collapsing 99% to only a few thousand dollars per day. Meanwhile, Goldman’s ETF exit adds institutional weight to an already hesitant market. Low leverage reduces the risk of a violent cascade, but it also means XRP needs a fresh external catalyst before volatility returns with any real force.

Can XRP Reclaim $1.50 or is a Deeper Pullback Coming?

XRP is currently trading below its 50-day EMA, a short-term bearish signal, while the 200-day EMA near $1.65 functions as longer-term structural support. Losing that level, analysts warn, could accelerate selling pressure meaningfully.

Ali Charts has flagged a tight Bollinger Band squeeze on XRP’s 3-day chart, the kind of setup that historically precedes a sharp move in either direction (the frustrating part being that Bollinger Bands don’t tell you which direction). Three scenarios appear most plausible right now:

  • Bull case: XRP reclaims the 50-day EMA and pushes through $1.45 resistance, reigniting momentum toward $1.60+
  • Base case: Consolidation continues near current levels until a regulatory or institutional catalyst arrives, think “Clarity Act” developments or renewed ETF flows
  • Bear case: Failure to hold $1.35 structural support opens downside toward Fibonacci-derived targets near $1.01–$0.67 per some technical models, though these remain speculative

With the broader XRP ETF narrative still unresolved, price action is likely to remain range-bound until macro or regulatory conditions shift. Patience is the operative word here.

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Bitcoin Hyper Eyes Early Mover Upside While the XRP Price Waits for a Catalyst

When an established asset like XRP enters a prolonged compression phase, thin leverage, declining on-chain activity, institutions trimming positions, some investors look to earlier-stage opportunities where the upside math is structurally different.

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EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales to Watch Right Now

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Alex Ioannou
Alex Ioannou
On-Chain Journalist

Alex is a seasoned cryptocurrency trader and market analyst with over seven years of active experience in the digital asset space. Since entering the markets in 2017, Alex has specialized in identifying emerging "meta" trends and high-volatility narratives. Notably, Alex... Read More

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