Cutting the cost of using a network by 90% tends to change who bothers using it. Google Gemini AI predicts that the shift starts tomorrow, and the price prediction places Solana at $110 to $135 by the end of 2026, with a $120 base case from $75.
The Agave v4.2 client is the anchor. It activates on August 17 and slashes on-chain rent costs by 90%.
Firedancer expands alongside it. The high-throughput validator client keeps widening its mainnet deployment.
Together Gemini expects a large jump in execution speed and network resilience. Those are the two things that decide whether serious volume can live on a chain.
Institutional adoption is already arriving. Bullish executes tokenized equity trading settled directly on Solana.
Real-world activity scales behind it. SIMD-0286 boosted block capacity to 100M compute units, giving that activity room to grow.
The bear case is a single level. A break below critical support at $68 would invalidate the entire trajectory.
That opens downside toward $60. Assuming network stability holds, Gemini projects SOL reaching $120.
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Solana Price Prediction: Gemini AI Predicts Ninety Percent Cheaper Blockspace Changes Everything
The weekly chart shows a full boom-and-unwind. SOL climbed from $10 in late 2022 to above $290 by early 2025.
A second peak near $255 arrived in late 2025. That marked the top before the trend reversed hard.
Early 2026 broke the structure, cutting the price from $145 toward $90. The decline continued through spring to a low near $61.
Recent weeks have flattened out. Price now sits in the mid $70s with no strong move in either direction.
The weekly close reads $75.26, down 1.25% and $0.95. The weekly range spanned $74.58 to $77.23.
Support sits at $73, then $68 as the level Gemini flags, with $61 beneath it. Resistance appears at $90, then $110 and $125.
RSI reads 40.13 with its signal line below at 37.97. The oscillator leads by roughly 2 points, a small positive divergence at a low reading.
Both lines sit under the midline near multi-year lows. Momentum is weak, though the crossover suggests selling pressure is easing.
Gemini’s base case needs a 60% move from here. Tomorrow’s activation is the first real test of whether cheaper blockspace pulls in volume.
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For SOL holders, August 17 is no longer an abstract roadmap date. The upgrade either delivers the cheaper blockspace and stronger activity Gemini expects, or the market gets another reason to question the recovery.
Kalshi is built for exactly that kind of event-driven thinking.
Instead of expressing every view through the asset itself, users can trade directly on real-world outcomes across crypto, economic releases, Fed decisions, politics, and other events that markets are already pricing in. That gives traders a cleaner way to act on a thesis when the catalyst has a deadline, and the reaction is uncertain.
The distinction matters with Solana sitting near support. Buying SOL means taking on every variable affecting the token. Trading the event means focusing on the outcome you actually have a view on.
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