Bitcoin (BTC), often referred to as the “crypto gold,” is currently in its fourth halving cycle. Other decentralized projects, such as Bittensor (TAO crypto), have taken a leaf out of BTC’s playbook and are starting to experiment with similar supply cuts, spiking price action.
TAO crypto launched in 2021, and is finally about to go through its first halving since its launch.
For those new to Bittensor, it is an open-source, decentralized machine learning network built around subnets. Subnets essentially act like marketplaces where people can exchange AI services.
Grayscale is expecting Bitternsor’s first halving to occur on or around December 14, 2025. Once the halving takes place, the daily issuance of its native token, TAO, will reduce from 7,200 to 3,600.
This is an important phase in TAO’s growth cycle, as explained by Grayscale Research analyst William Ogden Moore, who has called this event a “key milestone in the network’s maturation as it progresses toward its 21 million token supply cap.”
(Source: Grayscale Research)
For investors and market participants, a hard cap on the total number of tokens in circulation often translates to a higher value. This occurs because the scarcity narrative comes into play.
$TAO pushing hard and recovering the key $300 range. Just one week until the halving, looking primed 🙌
📍 More trade set ups at: https://t.co/N3WuQcWWkm pic.twitter.com/iUXDAxOvHo
— Rand (@cryptorand) December 8, 2025
The lesser the number of tokens in circulation, the higher the demand, resulting in a higher price tag per token. If TAO’s adoption grows and demand rises, traders may find a limited supply model more appealing than pre-mined tokens.
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TAO Price Analysis: Craziest Move Of 2026 Already Incoming?
Since November, the TAO price has been facing bearish pressure, which has seen its value drop from $350 to just above $250. But all that has changed with the imminent arrival of its halving, and its price action is feeling revitalized.
In the last 24 hours, TAO is up 7.4%, and on the weekly chart, it is up +11%. Currently trading at , it has already captured its 20 and 50-day EMA (Exponential Moving Averages) on the 4-hour chart and has breached its 100-day EMA at $295.
(Source: TradingView)
Looking back, TAO’s big rallies have always coincided with AI-based, where traders have rotated from BTC to altcoins. Since its last rally in mid-2025, TAO has been stuck in a tight range between $298 and $471, eventually slipping lower to retest the $253–$265 zone.
This is where historically, the price has kicked off and rallied. If the halving excitement carries over, TAO could, in theory, see its price climb towards $540–$610 within a month or so. However, if it loses support around $250–$265, that bullish momentum will dissipate quickly.
Bittensor ( $TAO ) Has a History of Explosive Breakouts — Can the Halving Trigger the Next One?$TAO, which recently tapped a 7-month low, is finally showing signs of life — the price is up ~15% in just 8 days, climbing from $250 to ~$290. The renewed momentum lines up with… pic.twitter.com/5QEm06ptNK
— Coinpedia Markets (@MarketCoinpedia) December 8, 2025
RSI currently sits at 59, suggesting there’s still room for price growth before hitting overbought territory.
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Bitcoin Hyper Speeds Past $29M: Next 100x Layer-2?
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Key Takeaways
- TAO’s first halving will cut daily issuance from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens, potentially raising price
- If TAO holds steady around $250–$265, the halving could drive it up to $540–$610.
- TAO’s halving event mirrors Bitcoin’s scarcity model, boosting investor interest
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