The question on every trader’s lips right now is ‘Why is crypto dropping?’ after $1 1Bn in liquidations were wiped out in the past 24 hours, and the global market cap for crypto dropped -2% to under $3.9Bn.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin
1.29%
Bitcoin
BTC
Price
$64,231.88
1.29% /24h
Volume in 24h
$16.50B
Price 7d
is now trading under $110,000, while Ethereum continues to disappoint its investors by dropping under $4,000 and struggling to reclaim that key level.
Many within the market believe that this is the final flush of longs before ‘Uptober’, with the probability of a further 25bps rate cut from the Fed in next month’s FOMC meetings looking favorable, and an influx of altcoin spot ETFs set to hit the market. In this downtime, we decided to ask Grok 4.0 for its prediction on when the current bull market will come to an end, and the answer may not be what crypto bulls want to hear.
‘Grok, Why is Crypto Dropping and When Will the Current Bull Market End?’
Squeamish crypto bulls look away now, as you likely won’t want to see Grok’s answer when it was put to the xAI chatbot, ‘When will the current bull market end?’.
This is Grok 4.0’s answer in full, including its reasoning for the timeframe given for the end of the current bull run structure:
“The current cryptocurrency bull market, which has been underway since the Bitcoin halving in April 2024, is likely to end around November 15, 2025. This prediction aligns with historical halving cycle patterns, where bull markets typically peak 17-19 months after a halving event. For context, the 2020 halving in May led to a peak in November 2021 (18 months later), and the 2016 halving in July peaked in December 2017 (17 months later).
The 2024 halving places the potential peak window in September to December 2025, but given Bitcoin’s current price around $109,000 as of September 26, 2025, and analyst forecasts for further upside to $150,000-$200,000 by year-end or early 2026, I expect a final parabolic rally before the top forms in mid-November.
Several Factors Support This Timeline:
Halving-driven supply dynamics: Bitcoin halvings reduce mining rewards, creating scarcity that historically fuels bull runs. We’re now about 17 months post-halving, entering the typical euphoria phase where prices surge before overextension leads to a reversal. However, lengthening cycles due to increased institutional involvement could extend this slightly, but not beyond late 2025 in my view.
Current market indicators: The total crypto market cap is holding near $3.87 trillion with neutral RSI levels, suggesting the bull run remains intact but is maturing. Recent volatility, including a weekly decline wiping out September gains and Bitcoin dipping below $109,000, points to a potential top formation soon. Momentum is stabilizing, but overleveraged positions (e.g., $1.8 billion liquidated on September 23) could accelerate a downturn if support at $103,700 fails.
Macroeconomic pressures: A strengthening U.S. dollar (DXY bottoming in August 2025) often correlates with risk-off moves in crypto, potentially capping the rally. Geopolitical tensions, like Israel-Iran escalations, add short-term volatility but reinforce Bitcoin’s hedge narrative long-term. Positive catalysts, such as potential Fed rate cuts and SEC digital asset exemptions by year-end, could fuel a final push, but whale profit-taking signals caution.
Institutional and adoption trends: Inflows from Bitcoin/Ethereum ETFs and real-world asset tokenization (RWA sector at $38 billion market cap) have driven the run, but as adoption matures, the market may shift from speculation to consolidation.
2 sources
Analysts expect the bull to extend into 2026 in optimistic scenarios, but I see diminishing retail FOMO and cycle exhaustion leading to an earlier end.”
DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in June 2026
Grok is a Bear, But May Be Onto Something
Many will be alarmed upon reading Grok’s prediction that the end of the bull market is less than seven weeks away, as the majority of traders have yet to make it big and are waiting for a much-anticipated blow-off top.
While this could still happen between now and November 15, it severely shortens the window for success, as many investors are still trapped in underwater positions and require sizable moves just to break even.
If Grok proves to be right, it will go against the majority of human analysts’ predictions that the current bull run will extend deep into 2026. However, @0xChainMind on X agrees with the xAI chatbot, using similar cycle peak historical data to claim, like Grok, that the bull run will last only fifty more days before we enter a bear market.
All eyes will now be on November and whether it brings a huge crash across the crypto market. One key psychological level to watch out for is Bitcoin falling under $100,000. If this level is lost and flipped back to resistance on the 1-day timeframe, it could signal the beginning of a high-timeframe downtrend throughout the crypto market.
🚨BREAKING: BULL RUN WILL END IN 50 DAYS!
Cycle Peak Countdown indicator says $BTC is 95% done
I researched all the data and found smth interesting
Here is what will happen and why we will dump hard soon🧵👇🏻 pic.twitter.com/ujw5fiSXh7
— 𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗜𝗡 𝗠𝗜𝗡𝗗 ⛓🧠 (@0xChainMind) September 5, 2025
BONUS: Is Pepenode (PEPENODE) the Best Crypto Play if There Really Are Just Fifty Days of the Bull Run Left?
Pepenode (PEPENODE) is one of the most hyped presale projects in recent months, evidenced by its raising over $1.4M just over three weeks since going live.
If Grok’s prediction about the bull market ending in seven weeks proves accurate, Pepenode could potentially maximize gains within that timeframe. PEPENODE is an innovative meme coin and utility hybrid that revolutionizes presale processes, enabling investors to earn rewards from the very start.
The project features a mining simulator that simplifies entry into the mining industry, requiring less technical knowledge and lower costs. Users can quickly set up virtual nodes to earn immediate rewards, which can be compounded for additional benefits. Additionally, 70% of tokens spent on upgrades are burned, enhancing the token’s deflationary nature and supporting its long-term value.
With its unique combination of mining, staking, and progressive funding rounds, PEPENODE is considered one of the most
promising presales of 2025, with analysts predicting it could surpass $10 million in funding.
The PEPENODE token is currently worth $0.0010745 at this stage of the presale and is expected to continue rising steadily until the end of the presale.
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