As the BTC Price USD surges past July highs, printing fresh all-time highs, Bitcoin enthusiasts and the big boys want more. After all, it is Uptober, and as usual, the only path of least resistance in this month of green is northwards. History has Bitcoin bulls’ back, and if September’s gains are anything to go by, the leg up in Q4 2025 could be explosive.
Behind this optimism are fundamental events, and the FOMC, along with Jerome Powell, plays a central role. Everyone wants the Fed to slash rates. Donald Trump won’t take a no for an answer, and that means more pressure on Powell. A looser monetary policy translates to more free cash, and a percentage of the expected billions will likely flow to some of the best cryptos to buy, such as BTC USD.
There are hints that this deluge will lift the Bitcoin price and the broader crypto market. On Coinglass, most traders are net bullish, with the long/short ratio standing at 1.8 among top traders on Binance. Unfortunately, most accounts are betting for weaker prices. The good news is that more capital is flowing to Bitcoin. In the last hour, when writing, over $30M of spot BTC have been bought.
(Source: Coinglass)
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What Next? Will The Fed Cut Rates? Will BTC Price USD Soar Above $130?
Only time will tell if BTC USD will crack $126,000 and print fresh all-time highs.
Interestingly, even with the BTC price USD near all-time highs, the Fear and Greed Index is at “Fear/Neutral” territory. Traders are watching, optimistic but not greedy.
Crypto Fear and Greed Chart
On the daily chart, the Bitcoin price is up +13% from late September when prices slipped below $110,000.
Although the upward momentum is slowing, considering the long upper wicks on October 5 and October 3, buyers remain firmly in control. Support is at the $116,000 and $118,000 zone, while the first resistance that buyers must convincingly break is $126,000.
There is a high chance that Bitcoin will print fresh all-time highs. The pace at which BTC price USD will fly depends on how aggressive the Federal Reserve if. A 50bps rate cut will likely pump BTC USD to $150,000 by Q4 2025.
On Polymarket, punters already expect a rate cut by the end of October, but not a 50 bps drop. Instead, +90% of punters think the central bank will slash rates moderately by 25 bps.
(Source: Polymarket)
Economists have placed a +94% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in late October.
(Source: FedWatch Tool)
As bullish as this is, one observer, citing Bank of America data, believes this rate cut will be the last of the year. This position is a result of the recent upgrade of GDP.
And due to the upgrade to GDP/consumption, BoA brings forward their December rate cut to October, but curiously doesn't then see another cut in December (but notes the possibility also exists of a rapid series of cuts which if not accompanied by significant economic weakness… https://t.co/6X0wtdFa3E pic.twitter.com/iFGuDorJip
— Neil Sethi (@neilksethi) October 5, 2025
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BTC Price USD Explodes Ahead Of FOMC, Bitcoin Hyper Shines
- BTC price USD broke $125,000 over the weekend
- Will BTC USD soar above $126,000 before FOMC?
- The Fed will likely slash rates in October
- Bitcoin Hyper raises over $21.7M
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