As Bitcoin slips below $87K, Grayscale released a report today stating that the end of the so-called four-year cycle will occur in 2026, and for a good reason. This news followed comments from Itaú Unibanco, Brazil’s largest private bank, which urged investors to allocate part of their portfolios to Bitcoin.
The Grayscale report said Bitcoin’s price is likely to reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year. This aligns with CoinMarketCap’s research, which also expects an all-time high in March.
According to the report, rising valuations in 2026 will mark the end of the so-called four-year cycle, the theory that crypto market direction follows a recurring four-year pattern.
Grayscale also expects crypto to become deeply integrated into U.S. law, with more digital assets becoming available through exchange-traded products. It does not matter if you disagree. This is a $35B AUM firm talking. If that is not big enough, maybe Brazil will change that.
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Brazil’s Largest Private Bank, Ita,ú Urges Investors To Buy Bitcoin
Itaú Asset Management, Brazil’s largest privately owned asset manager, is now officially advising clients to allocate around 1% to 3% of their portfolios to Bitcoin. That represents a significant shift in how institutions across Latin America are beginning to view cryptocurrency.
The bank is clear that Bitcoin is not meant to replace core holdings. Instead, it views BTC as a complementary asset that can aid in diversification, particularly during periods of global uncertainty and local currency risk. With recent price volatility and FX swings, Itaú says a small, controlled allocation can help balance those pressures.
LATEST: 🏦 Brazil's largest asset manager, Itáu Asset Management, now recommends investors allocate 1%-3% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, with an executive emphasizing BTC's dual benefits of diversification and wealth protection. pic.twitter.com/QopOjra2uJ
— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) December 15, 2025
According to the bank, its internal research indicates that Bitcoin has a low correlation with stocks, bonds, and traditional fixed-income assets. That is what makes it attractive in a diversified portfolio. A measured position provides investors with exposure to long-term upside without increasing overall risk.
Itaú also warned against trying to time the market. Rather than trading in and out, it recommends a disciplined, long-term approach to holding Bitcoin. That mindset aligns closely with modern portfolio theory, which recommends small allocations to non-correlated assets to enhance risk-adjusted returns.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Could BTC Beat Stock Market Gains In 2026
This Bitcoin chart shows price still stuck inside a clear descending channel, with sellers firmly in control for now.
BTC is trading around $86,200 and pressing the lower boundary of the channel, which lines up with a key support zone near $80,000 to $81,000. RSI is sitting around 28, deep in oversold territory, which indicates that downside momentum is stretched and selling pressure is weakening rather than intensifying.
The MACD remains negative but is flattening, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing, rather than accelerating. On the upside, the $89,900 level serves as the first line of defense, with heavier resistance expected near $96,300, where previous breakdowns have occurred.
A bounce from current levels could trigger a relief move back toward the mid-channel, but a clean loss of channel support would likely send BTC into the low $80,000s before buyers step in significantly. Overall, this is a critical decision zone where exhaustion favors a bounce, but structure stays bearish until resistance is reclaimed.
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Maxi Doge Could Be The Best Winner From Bitcoin Price Action
Bitcoin may be grinding lower short-term, but that is exactly when rotation narratives start forming. While BTC and institutions position quietly, high-beta plays are where outsized moves usually begin.
This is where Maxi Doge is starting to catch attention.
Maxi Doge is built around a simple idea: when memecoins wake up, the strongest and loudest communities move first. DOGE has always been the face of that cycle. However, Maxi Doge is designed to amplify that momentum during the next rotation.
Unlike short-lived meme launches, Maxi Doge is capitalizing on its timing. With risk appetite suppressed, ETF flows slowing, and sentiment near its lows, this is historically when early accumulation typically occurs.
The project is still in its early stages, liquidity is scarce, and that is exactly why traders are watching it now. When Bitcoin stabilizes and capital starts rotating back into high-risk assets, memecoins tend to move fast and without warning.
Maxi Doge is positioning itself as a leveraged bet on that return of meme momentum, built for traders who understand that boredom phases are where the best asymmetrical setups usually form.
As always, size responsibly. However, if history repeats itself, the next meme leg will not wait for consensus.
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Key Takeaways
- Grayscale and Itaú both see Bitcoin heading toward new highs, signaling institutions are buying the dip, not panicking
- BTC is oversold near key support, making this a critical zone before either a bounce or deeper flush.
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