What is Altcoin Season and When Is It Coming?
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Ah, altcoin season—the mystical crypto phenomenon where the underdogs of the blockchain universe take center stage and dance their way to jaw-dropping price surges. But before you dive into the sea of meme coins and technical indicators, let’s break down what this buzzword really means.
Simply put, altcoin season is that magical period in the cryptocurrency market when altcoins, the scrappy cousins of Bitcoin, outperform the big boss itself. Think of it as the financial underdog story we all love—except this one plays out on blockchain networks and trading screens. During this time, Bitcoin’s dominance dips, signaling that the broader altcoin market is stealing the show.
But why is this phenomenon often tied to a bull market? Well, when markets soar, the risk appetite grows. Retail investors start pouring into the crypto space, hunting for the next big thing, whether it’s a meme coin like Shiba Inu or a project with “significant growth” potential. It’s a frenzy, fueled by media coverage and social media hype, creating a feedback loop that sends prices to new highs.
The term “altcoin season” began gaining traction around 2017, during the epic bull run that saw Bitcoin hitting its time high while altcoins followed in an upward wave. Back then, the term spread like wildfire on forums like Reddit and, more recently, on platforms like X (formerly Twitter). It wasn’t just a trend; it became a hallmark of the current market cycle.
But when is altcoin season coming next? That’s the million-dollar question (literally). Stay tuned, because we’re diving deeper into when altcoins might make their triumphant return and how you can spot the next altcoin bull run.
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When Will Altcoins Outperform Bitcoin: A Summary
Let’s get one thing straight—an altcoin season doesn’t pop up out of nowhere. It’s the byproduct of a fascinating cocktail of market psychology, shifting trends, and investor behavior. Understanding when altcoins might outperform Bitcoin requires more than just staring at a chart; it’s about decoding the rhythm of the cryptocurrency market.
An altcoin season is fueled by shifts in market sentiment. As Bitcoin cements its dominance during bull runs, altcoins often wait on the sidelines. But when Bitcoin’s price stabilizes—or the so-called Bitcoin dominance begins to waver—investors shift their gaze to altcoins. It’s like a well-choreographed dance: Bitcoin leads, and then altcoins step in to steal the spotlight.
It’s about emotions—investor interest swells when the possibility of “the next big thing” arises. Whether it’s a revolutionary blockchain protocol or the rise of a meme coin, people love the idea of outsized returns. Add in social media hype, and you’ve got the perfect storm for an altcoin bull run.
But let’s not sugarcoat it. This process is as unpredictable as the current market cycle itself. There are no guarantees, and chasing pumps can lead to disaster. Risk management is crucial because the cryptocurrency market is notorious for its wild swings and unpredictable nature.
Still, history tells us this much: altcoin seasons are cyclical, and they thrive on market optimism. If you’re watching the signs—like shifts in trading activity, BTC dominance, and total cryptocurrency market cap—you might just catch the next wave. Keep reading as we uncover what these signs look like and when the timing of the next altcoin season might hit the charts.
Key Highlights
What Is Altcoin Season?
The elusive altcoin season—a crypto event so coveted that it keeps traders glued to charts, squinting at candlesticks, and tweeting like their lives depend on it. But what makes this period so special, and why does it keep coming back like a well-loved sequel?
The cryptocurrency market has rhythms—booms, busts, and everything in between. During these cycles, Bitcoin typically leads the charge, dragging the total crypto market upward. But once Bitcoin dominance wanes, the altcoins step up. They rally, spike, and, in some cases, leave Bitcoin in the dust.
The beauty of this cycle lies in its repetition. In every market cycle, there’s a moment when traders, bored of Bitcoin’s stability or driven by FOMO (fear of missing out), funnel their funds into altcoins. It’s part speculation, part strategy, and entirely fascinating.
But how do we know we’re in an altcoin season? And what clues do past rallies leave us? Let’s take a stroll down memory lane and revisit the historic altseasons that shaped the crypto space.
History of Previous Altseasons
To understand where we’re headed, it’s essential to look back at where we’ve been. Altcoin seasons are not random—they’re deeply tied to the ebb and flow of the cryptocurrency market. By revisiting past cycles, we can uncover patterns, indicators, and the occasional wild surprise that defined these rallies. Let’s dive into the historic moments when altcoins took center stage and rewrote the rules of the game.
First Altseason: 2017-2018
2017—back when Bitcoin was the king of the castle, and nobody dared question its rule. But like every good drama, the throne was about to be challenged. As Bitcoin smashed through $19,000, flexing its muscles and grabbing all the headlines, something fascinating happened: people started looking for cheaper thrills. Enter the altcoin market.
Ethereum was the first to show that it wasn’t here to play second fiddle. By early 2018, it had skyrocketed to over $1,300, proving that programmable money was the future. Not to be outdone, XRP pulled a “hold my beer” moment, briefly overtaking Ethereum’s market cap. Meanwhile, coins like Litecoin and Cardano jumped into the fray, posting jaw-dropping gains and making early investors feel like geniuses.
The fuel for this madness? ICOs. Suddenly, every project had a whitepaper promising to “disrupt” something or other. Retail investors couldn’t resist; they threw money at anything with “crypto” in the name. X (formerly Twitter) was ablaze, Reddit threads were popping, and the phrase “new highs” became a daily mantra. By the time Bitcoin’s dominance dipped below 40%, the rise of altcoins was unstoppable.
But like every good party, the 2017 altseason ended with a nasty hangover. ICO scams and regulatory scrutiny burst the bubble, leaving many altcoins to rot in the cryptosphere graveyard. Lesson learned? Risk management is not optional when the champagne is flowing.
Last Altseason: 2020-2021
Fast forward to Q4 2020, and we’re in an entirely different ballgame. By now, crypto wasn’t just for geeks and gamblers—it had gone mainstream. Elon Musk was tweeting about meme coins, NFTs were selling for millions, and retail investors were swarming in like it was Black Friday in the crypto space.
Ethereum led the charge (again—what a showoff), hitting a cool $4,800. But this time, it wasn’t just about ETH. Solana and Avalanche came out swinging, showing that new highs weren’t just for the old guard. Even Shiba Inu—yes, a coin inspired by a dog meme—managed to capture billions in market capitalization. Who says crypto isn’t fun?
What made this altseason different was its backbone: DeFi and NFTs. Suddenly, crypto wasn’t just about hodling; it was about lending, borrowing, and owning digital art. Market sentiment shifted as these innovations brought real-world applications to the total cryptocurrency market cap, which soared past $2 trillion for the first time.
But let’s not kid ourselves—this wasn’t all sunshine and moonshots. The unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market reared its ugly head with sudden corrections and regulatory threats. Yet, despite the chaos, one thing was clear: altcoins had earned their place in the spotlight.
The question now is simple: when is altcoin season coming back? If history is anything to go by, the answer lies in those glorious cycles. Stay sharp—the next wave might be closer than you think.
Signs That a New Altseason Has Begun
You know that feeling when spring is just around the corner—birds chirping, flowers blooming, and sunshine peeking through the clouds? Well, an altcoin season has its own set of signs, except they don’t involve cute animals or flowers. Instead, we’re talking about charts, metrics, and that unmistakable buzz on social media. Let’s dive into the key indicators that tell us we’re stepping into the promised land of altcoin glory.
Increase in Altcoin Dominance
When Bitcoin dominance starts slipping, it’s like a heavyweight boxer wobbling in the ring—you know the underdogs are about to take their shot. As the chart below shows, Bitcoin’s stranglehold over the crypto market loosens during key cycles, giving altcoins the chance to shine brighter than a Dogecoin meme.
Back in 2018, Bitcoin’s dominance fell below 40%, and what happened next? The altcoin market went absolutely bananas. Ethereum hit its stride, meme coins like Shiba Inu became household names, and every other coin with a cute logo started rocketing to new highs. The same dynamics can be seen in other cycles, where Bitcoin takes a backseat, and altcoins bask in the glow of media coverage and rising investor interest.
Now, take a closer look at the chart. See those moments where Bitcoin dominance dips and the MACD and RSI indicators start turning green? That’s the market whispering, “Hey, maybe it’s time to diversify.” As more money flows into altcoins, trading volumes spike, and before you know it, the total crypto market cap balloons like your cousin’s Thanksgiving plate.
When people stop dreaming of another Bitcoin moonshot and start chasing significant growth in altcoins, you know the winds of an altcoin bull run are blowing. Timing this shift is key—miss it, and you’re stuck watching from the sidelines while others ride the wave.
So, keep your eye on that chart, because when Bitcoin dominance falters, the altcoin season party is just getting started. And trust me, you’ll want an invite.
Rising Trading Volumes
If you see trading volumes and market caps for altcoins spiking across exchanges, you know something’s cooking. This isn’t just casual buying and selling—it’s the market waking up to the possibility of significant growth in the altcoin space.
Think of this as the pulse of the market. Rising volumes indicate increased investor interest and confidence, whether it’s in established players like Ethereum or the latest meme coin riding a wave of media coverage.
Altcoin Season Index
Let’s talk about the ultimate cheat sheet for spotting an altcoin season: the Altcoin Season Index. Think of it as a compass for navigating the often chaotic cryptocurrency market. This handy metric tells us whether we’re in Bitcoin’s world—or if it’s time for altcoins to shine.
Here’s how it works: if 75% or more of the top 50 coins outperform Bitcoin over a set period, welcome to altseason! On the flip side, when Bitcoin dominates the performance charts, it’s Bitcoin season. Right now? The index sits at 33, as seen in the chart. Translation: we’re firmly in Bitcoin’s territory, and altcoin market enthusiasts might have to wait a bit longer for their moment.
The index is critical because it doesn’t just measure price movements—it reflects the shifting market sentiment. A low reading, like what we’re seeing now, often coincides with investor interest focused on Bitcoin. Higher numbers, edging toward the 75 mark, mean trading activity and attention are shifting toward altcoins.
Coin Price Breakouts
Nothing screams “altcoin season” louder than price breakouts across the board. When you see coins smashing through resistance levels like they’re running from the cops, it’s a clear sign the market is heating up.
These breakouts often come with flashy headlines—“Ethereum Hits New Highs!” or “Shiba Inu Doubles in Price!”—and an influx of retail investors scrambling to get in on the action. Pair this with technical indicators like the relative strength index, and you’ll know if a rally has legs or if it’s just a pump-and-dump sideshow.
Altcoin Season vs. Bitcoin Season
It’s the eternal showdown: Bitcoin, the OG heavyweight, versus altcoins, the scrappy underdogs with moonshot dreams. Who wins? Well, it all depends on where we are in the market cycle. Let’s break it down—short, sharp, and punchy.
Take a look at the chart. 2017 was altseason on steroids—altcoins posted a mind-boggling 20,852% return, crushing Bitcoin and Ethereum. It was the kind of market where even your neighbor’s dog-themed token turned into a Lambo. But every party ends, and 2018 was the ultimate buzzkill. Altcoins crashed hard, down -84%, while Bitcoin held up slightly better. When fear takes over, Bitcoin reigns supreme.
Fast forward to 2019-2020, and we entered the recovery phase. Bitcoin led in 2019, but by 2020, Ethereum stole the show with a 500% return. Altcoins? They were warming up, waiting for their big break. And then came 2021, the return of the king—altcoin season exploded again, delivering 724% gains, fueled by DeFi, NFTs, and enough hype to rival a Hollywood blockbuster.
But the cycle turned once more in 2022, dragging altcoins down -72% in the bear phase. By 2023, the market started recovering, with altcoins climbing back 94%. Now, in 2024, we’re in another rebuilding phase. Altcoins are simmering, but Bitcoin still holds the crown—for now.
Are We Entering Altcoin Season?
Let’s cut to the chase: No, we are not in altcoin season right now. The current reading on the Altcoin Season Index sits at a modest 33, which firmly places us in Bitcoin’s territory. In other words, Bitcoin is still the life of the crypto party, and the altcoin market is standing by the punch bowl, waiting for its turn to shine.
But why hasn’t altseason kicked off yet? Let’s break down the top four reasons keeping us in Bitcoin’s shadow:
1. Bitcoin’s Dominance Remains Strong
Bitcoin is still the heavyweight champ, holding onto a solid chunk of the total cryptocurrency market cap. As long as Bitcoin dominance stays high (currently at over 60%, as the chart shows), there simply isn’t enough room for altcoins to stage a breakout. It’s like trying to have a karaoke night while a rock band is still playing—nobody’s paying attention to anything else.
2. Retail Investors Are Sitting This One Out
Altcoin bull runs thrive on retail investors jumping into the market, but right now, the average Joe is cautiously sitting on the sidelines. Without a fresh wave of FOMO-driven participants, there’s just not enough fuel to launch altcoins into orbit. Blame it on market uncertainty, regulatory fears, or just plain old bear market blues.
3. Market Sentiment Is Cautious
The current market cycle feels more like a slow jog than a sprint. Traders are playing it safe, parking their funds in Bitcoin rather than rolling the dice on riskier altcoins. Until the broader cryptocurrency market starts to heat up, altcoins will have to wait their turn.
4. No Big Catalysts (Yet… Or Are There?)
Okay, I may have spoken too soon—because the crypto world has a knack for throwing curveballs. While we haven’t seen a major altcoin breakout yet, there are a couple of intriguing sparks that might just light the fuse for the next altcoin season.
First, let’s talk about Dogecoin. The original meme coin isn’t done flexing. Over the past month, its market cap has surged from $20 billion to a jaw-dropping $56 billion. That’s right, the Shiba-powered dog is howling louder than ever. This kind of upward movement isn’t just a random spike—it’s a potential signal that retail investors are waking up. Could Doge be the Trojan horse that pulls the altcoin market out of hibernation? Stranger things have happened in crypto.
And then there’s the wildcard: Gary Gensler, the SEC chair who’s made crypto’s life… let’s just say, “complicated.” News broke that he’s resigning on January 20, 2025. If that doesn’t get the crypto space buzzing, I don’t know what will. Regulatory uncertainty has been a massive roadblock for altcoins, and Gensler’s exit could pave the way for a more crypto-friendly environment. Combine that with the potential for loosened restrictions, and you’ve got the kind of media coverage and market sentiment shift that could kickstart a full-blown altcoin bull run.
While these catalysts alone aren’t enough to declare the start of altcoin season, they’re worth keeping an eye on. If Dogecoin keeps climbing and regulatory winds shift, these events might just create the perfect storm for significant growth across the altcoin market. Stay tuned—it’s getting interesting out there.
When Is the Next Altcoin Season Coming?
Here’s the golden question on everyone’s mind: When is altcoin season finally going to hit? While nobody has a crystal ball to predict the exact date, we’ve got some clues from the data—and the chart above provides some serious food for thought.
Over the last 90 days, the performance of the top 50 altcoins shows some promising activity. Coins like SUI (278.7%), OMI (273.4%), and Dogecoin (263.1%) have been flexing their muscles, significantly outperforming Bitcoin’s 62.3% growth. This kind of outperformance is exactly what we’d expect to see leading into an altcoin season. While the numbers aren’t quite at the explosive levels needed to fully declare altseason, they’re whispering, “It’s getting close.”
But remember, this isn’t just about flashy returns. For a full-blown altcoin bull run, we’ll need more consistent upward momentum across the board. Right now, Bitcoin still dominates much of the total cryptocurrency market cap, and the Altcoin Season Index is sitting at 33—far from the 75 threshold we’d need for a true altcoin season.
How to Take Advantage of Alt Season
When the winds of altcoin season start blowing, the opportunities for massive gains are hard to ignore. But with great opportunity comes great responsibility—because let’s face it, the crypto space can be as chaotic as a meme-coin Telegram chat. If you want to capitalize on this upward movement while minimizing risks, you’ll need a solid strategy. Here’s how to make the most of altseason without losing your shirt.
1) Research and Diversify Holdings
Throwing your entire portfolio into the latest meme coin might sound fun, but it’s also a fast track to sleepless nights and regret. Instead, focus on diversification. Spread your investments across different sectors of the altcoin market—DeFi, NFTs, Layer-1 blockchains, and yes, even those pesky meme coins with a strong community.
Do your homework. Check the fundamentals: Is the project solving a real problem? Does it have solid market capitalization? Is the social media buzz organic or just a pump-and-dump scam in disguise? In altseason, information is your best weapon.
2) Time Your Entries and Exits
Timing is everything in the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Get in too late, and you’re just another retail investor buying the top. Exit too early, and you’ll be kicking yourself while everyone else rides the wave.
Use technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to gauge whether a coin is overbought or undervalued. Pay attention to trends, trading volumes, and overall market sentiment. And don’t get greedy—set clear profit targets and stick to them. The best way to survive altseason is to take profits on the way up, not when the market comes crashing down.
3) Buy New Altcoins in Presale
Altseasons often bring a surge in investor interest for presale tokens—those shiny new projects launching with promises of significant growth. While these can be risky, they also offer some of the biggest upside potential if you get in early and choose wisely.
Look for presales with innovative use cases, experienced teams, and solid tokenomics. Avoid projects that rely solely on media coverage or flashy marketing. As always, risk management is key here. Only allocate what you can afford to lose because not every presale is the next Ethereum.
See Also: 10 Best Crypto Presales to Invest in 2025
The Bottom Line
To take advantage of altcoin season, you need to be informed, strategic, and disciplined. The opportunities are massive, but so are the risks. By diversifying your holdings, timing your moves carefully, and exploring presale opportunities, you’ll be better positioned to ride the rise of altcoins without falling victim to the hype. And hey, if all else fails, just remember: there’s always the next market cycle.
Risks of Trading During Altcoin Season
Before you get too starry-eyed about altcoin season, let’s get real for a second. While the potential for life-changing gains is undeniable, the risks are just as substantial. The cryptocurrency market is a rollercoaster ride, and during altseason, the volatility dials up to eleven. If you’re not careful, your dream of hitting new highs can turn into a nightmare. Let’s break down the biggest risks so you can trade smarter, not harder.
1) Extreme Volatility
The unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market reaches its peak during altseason. One minute, your altcoin is up 300%; the next, it’s retraced 80%. This isn’t just a possibility—it’s the norm. Unlike Bitcoin, which tends to stabilize as its market cap grows, most altcoins remain hyper-sensitive to market movements.
The key here? Don’t let greed cloud your judgment. Use tools like stop-loss orders and take-profit targets to lock in gains and limit your downside. Remember, in crypto, it’s not about how much you make—it’s about how much you keep.
2) Pump and Dump Coins
During altseason, social media and Telegram groups light up with promises of “the next big thing.” Often, these are classic pump-and-dump schemes where prices are artificially inflated by coordinated buying, only to crash once the organizers sell off their holdings.
Here’s how to avoid getting played: Stick to coins with solid fundamentals, real-world use cases, and a strong community. If a project’s only claim to fame is a viral meme or an anonymous founder, proceed with extreme caution.
3) Buying at Overvalued Prices
FOMO is the silent killer of crypto portfolios. The fear of missing out can push you to buy into a rally at its peak, leaving you holding the bag when the market corrects. And during altseason, corrections aren’t small—they’re brutal.
To avoid this, rely on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess whether a coin is overbought. Also, keep your emotions in check. It’s better to miss out on a little upside than to lose your shirt chasing a parabolic pump.
What Experts Think About Altcoin Season?
When it comes to altcoin season, everyone has an opinion—from the traders yelling “moon!” on X (formerly Twitter) to the analysts dissecting the market’s every move. But what do the pros have to say about when altcoins might finally take center stage again?
One notable perspective comes from VG GROUP Managing Partner Vagiz Nurullov, who believes we’re entering a more active phase of the market. He said:
“We are, generally speaking, entering a more active stage of the market. We can see that the market is wtinessing an increase in open interest. And, in general, traders are entering into transactions more actively. Their appetite for risk has increased.” – VG GROUP Managing Partner Vagiz Nurullov
This shift in market sentiment and the growing trading activity could be the early rumblings of the next altcoin bull run. According to Nurullov, while altseason may return, it might not look like the 2017 or 2021 rallies. Instead, the current market cycle could usher in a more measured, fundamentals-driven rally.
Conclusion: What is Altcoin Season and When Is It Coming?
Altcoin season isn’t just some mythical beast whispered about in crypto circles—it’s real, it’s cyclical, and when it hits, it’s absolute chaos (the fun kind). Picture this: portfolios doubling overnight, meme coins minting millionaires, and your DMs filled with people asking, “How do I buy this Shiba Inu thing?” It’s the stuff of legend, and you’ll want a front-row seat when it happens.
Altseason doesn’t send an engraved invitation. It sneaks up on you, fueled by market psychology, shifts in Bitcoin dominance, and, sometimes, a stray Elon Musk tweet about a dog. Whether it’s Dogecoin jumping from $20 billion to $56 billion or Gary Gensler’s retirement party on the horizon, the sparks are already there. And let’s not forget: crypto moves fast. One minute you’re waiting for signs, the next you’re knee-deep in a rally wondering why you didn’t load up on your bag when you had the chance.
Now’s the time to get your strategy straight. Research the coins that are more than just hype. Watch the Altcoin Season Index like a hawk. And for the love of Satoshi, have a plan—because this market is as ruthless as it is exhilarating.
When altcoin season finally arrives, it’ll be like stepping into a financial mosh pit. Gains will be made, hearts will be broken, and wallets will be tested. But for those who are ready? Oh, baby, it’s going to be the ride of a lifetime.
So, grab your charts, prep your wallets, and get your popcorn ready. Because when the altcoin market decides it’s time to take over, you’ll want to be more than a spectator. This isn’t just a run—it’s your shot to be part of crypto history. Are you ready?
See Also:
Frequently Asked Questions
What is an altcoin season?
How to identify an altcoin season?
How long does an alt season last?
What are the top altcoins to watch during the next alt season?
What is Altseason Index?
Is Altseason predictable?
What risks are associated with Altcoin Season?
Where can I track Altcoin Season?
References:
- CoinGecko. “What Is BTC Dominance?” CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/learn/what-is-btc-dominance
- BlockchainCenter. “Bitcoin Rainbow Chart.” BlockchainCenter, https://www.blockchaincenter.net/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/
- TradingView. “BTC.D.” TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTC.D/
- BlockchainCenter. “Altcoin Season Index.” BlockchainCenter, https://www.blockchaincenter.net/altcoin-season-index/
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