Bitcoin ($BTC) might be inching closer to the elusive six-figure mark, but BTC ETF inflows aren’t singing the same tune. BlackRock’s IBIT, the heavyweight among public Bitcoin ETFs, posted a staggering $332 million in outflows on Thursday, smashing its previous record of $188 million from December.
With over $53 billion in net assets, IBIT’s outflows are raising questions about the fund’s strategy and the broader implications for Bitcoin as it starts 2025 on a volatile note.
BTC ETF Inflows? Nope, Record Outflows Amid a Bullish Market
Bitcoin sits shy of $97,000, up 1.5% in the last 24 hours, extending a strong start to the year. After smashing past six figures earlier in 2024, it cooled off in December, closing at $94,000.
Despite IBIT’s record outflows spooking some, optimism is alive elsewhere. Bitcoin-centric ETFs like Bitwise’s BITB and Fidelity’s FBTC pulled in $48 million and $36 million in inflows, respectively.
Despite recent gains, the tail end of 2024 delivered a mixed bag for Bitcoin. Its recent rally stumbled into a “shooting star” formation on the monthly chart, where a slim body and extended upper wick signaled fading buyer momentum. Sellers stepped in at the top, hinting that a correction might not be far off.
“The bears are potentially in control,” explains the CMT Association’s technical guide, referring to how shooting star patterns often mark the top of a trend.
#Bitcoin Elliot Wave Count isn’t over yet!
3rd impulse is always bigger, we can expect a bigger move upwards than many might think!
$127,000 would be the target for $BTC! 🎯 pic.twitter.com/oFR6qLSAXC
— James CryptoGuru (@Jamyies) December 26, 2024
Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025
Even with recent volatility, Bitcoin’s outlook for 2025 holds its shine. Some predict it could hit $185,000 before the year is out, spurred by shrinking supply and surging mainstream adoption.
Trader Alex Kruger predicts, “February will be the best-performing month, with the Fed likely to turn dovish in Q1, spurring risk assets like Bitcoin.”
Additionally, a surge in corporate treasuries turning to Bitcoin in 2025 could choke supply and ignite a price explosion. Public companies, now backed by fresh Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) rules, are warming to Bitcoin’s appeal.
Thirty-three firms currently hold Bitcoin on their books, with MicroStrategy towering above the rest at 444,262 BTC. 99Bitcoin’s analysts suggest this wave of adoption could squeeze supply so tight it rockets Bitcoin to uncharted price levels.
What Does This Mean for Bitcoin Investors?
BlackRock’s IBIT fund is bleeding outflows, but the Bitcoin narrative is far from collapsing. Short-term swings are expected, yet the bigger game is driven by rising institutional interest, shrinking supply, and the unpredictable tides of the global economy.
For those holding into 2025, the signals are hard to ignore—growth is in the air.
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