{"id":38659,"date":"2026-03-11T17:09:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T17:09:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/br\/?p=38659"},"modified":"2026-03-11T11:32:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T11:32:38","slug":"bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o? Mudan\u00e7a de 17% na reserva de valor \u00e9 a chave"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Em 10 de mar\u00e7o de 2026, <a href=\"https:\/\/experts.bitwiseinvestments.com\/cio-memos\/how-bitcoin-gets-to-1-million\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Matt Hougan, Diretor de Investimentos da Bitwise,<\/a> afirmou que o Bitcoin atingir US$ 1 milh\u00e3o por moeda n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma fantasia! De acordo com Hougan, o BTC chegar a um milh\u00e3o \u00e9 um c\u00e1lculo espec\u00edfico de participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado, e o Bitcoin precisa capturar apenas 17% do mercado global de reserva de valor para atingir esse pre\u00e7o. Esse n\u00famero \u00fanico reformula toda a conversa em torno da previs\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin a longo prazo.<\/p>\n<p>A participa\u00e7\u00e3o atual do Bitcoin no mercado de reserva de valor \u00e9 de aproximadamente 7%.<\/p>\n<p>A distin\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 importante. A maioria das pessoas ouve &#8220;Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o&#8221; e assume que isso requer algum salto de f\u00e9 extraordin\u00e1rio e improv\u00e1vel. Hougan argumenta que a maioria das pessoas est\u00e1 fazendo as contas de forma errada, e que o erro \u00e9 surpreendentemente f\u00e1cil de corrigir.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">#Bitcoin<\/a> can rise to $1.4 MILLION in the next DECADE and may happen sooner than expected! \ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n<p>Source: Coin Bureau <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/11JHUwADGK\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/11JHUwADGK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Moon Show (@TheMoonShow) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheMoonShow\/status\/2025912200284578135?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">February 23, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>A tese da participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado de 17%: como o Bitcoin chegar\u00e1 a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o<\/h2>\n<p>Para entender por que os 17% s\u00e3o importantes, voc\u00ea primeiro precisa entender contra o que o Bitcoin est\u00e1 competindo. O ouro sozinho det\u00e9m um valor de mercado de aproximadamente US$ 38 trilh\u00f5es hoje, tendo crescido cerca de 13% ao ano desde 2004, impulsionado pelo aumento da d\u00edvida p\u00fablica, incerteza geopol\u00edtica e pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais frouxa em todo o mundo. O mercado mais amplo de reserva de valor, ao adicionar as reservas dos bancos centrais e outros ativos tang\u00edveis, estende-se muito al\u00e9m desse valor.<\/p>\n<p>Um pre\u00e7o de US$ 1 milh\u00e3o por Bitcoin implica um valor de mercado total de aproximadamente US$ 20 trilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n<p>US$ 20 trilh\u00f5es divididos em um mercado de reserva de valor que a pesquisa da Bitwise projeta que crescer\u00e1 substancialmente na pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada coloca a participa\u00e7\u00e3o necess\u00e1ria do Bitcoin em cerca de 17%. Isso \u00e9 pouco mais de um sexto do mercado total, n\u00e3o uma maioria, nem domin\u00e2ncia.<\/p>\n<p>A matem\u00e1tica n\u00e3o promete US$ 1 milh\u00e3o. Mas ela diz precisamente o que precisa ser verdade para que isso aconte\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<p>O caso do Bitcoin como um desafiante ao ouro baseia-se em propriedades que o ouro fisicamente n\u00e3o pode igualar. O Bitcoin tem uma oferta fixa, <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/bitcoin-btc\/20-million-bitcoin-mined-final-supply\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mais de 20 milh\u00f5es das 21 milh\u00f5es de moedas j\u00e1 foram mineradas<\/a>, e nenhum banco central pode imprimir mais. Ele n\u00e3o tem fronteiras, \u00e9 divis\u00edvel em oito casas decimais e n\u00e3o custa nada para armazenar al\u00e9m de uma carteira de hardware (hardware wallet). Sem cofres, sem carros blindados, sem pr\u00eamios de seguro. Nessa compara\u00e7\u00e3o espec\u00edfica, o Bitcoin funciona como o que Hougan e outros na equipe de pesquisa da Bitwise chamam de Ouro 2.0, a mesma l\u00f3gica de preserva\u00e7\u00e3o de riqueza, despojada de limita\u00e7\u00f5es f\u00edsicas.<\/p>\n<p>A principal percep\u00e7\u00e3o de Hougan \u00e9 que o mercado do ouro n\u00e3o \u00e9 est\u00e1tico. \u00c0 medida que o mercado de reserva de valor cresce, o Bitcoin capturar 17% de uma base maior torna-se menos exigente do que parece \u00e0 primeira vista.<\/p>\n<h2>172 empresas de capital aberto detinham Bitcoin no 3\u00ba trimestre de 2025<\/h2>\n<p>Os ETFs de Bitcoin \u00e0 vista nos EUA abriram as comportas para o capital institucional que anteriormente n\u00e3o tinha um caminho limpo para o BTC. <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/bitcoin-btc\/bitcoin-bottom-jan-van-eck-cycle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\">Os fluxos de entrada nos ETFs e os ciclos de acumula\u00e7\u00e3o institucional j\u00e1 est\u00e3o remodelando a estrutura de demanda do Bitcoin<\/a> de formas que espelham como os ETFs de ouro aceleraram a ascens\u00e3o do metal nos anos 2000. Pelo menos 172 empresas de capital aberto detinham Bitcoin no terceiro trimestre de 2025, possuindo coletivamente cerca de 1 milh\u00e3o de BTC, ou 5% da oferta circulante.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><div class=\"chart crypto-chart-instance\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc\"\n\tdata-coin-id=\"bitcoin\">\n\t<div class=\"chart__header\">\n\t\t<div class=\"chart__info\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<img id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-icon-img\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-name\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-name\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-symbol\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-symbol\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-current\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-price\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-price\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-change\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-change\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-extra\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-label\">Market Cap<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__info-marketcap\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-chart__info-marketcap\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t<div class=\"chart__controls\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"chart__controls-group\">\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--24h\"\n\t\t\t\t\tid=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-btn-24h\">24h<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--7d\"\n\t\t\t\t\tid=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-btn-7d\">7d<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--30d\"\n\t\t\t\t\tid=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-btn-30d\">30d<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--1y\"\n\t\t\t\t\tid=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-btn-1y\">1y<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<button class=\"chart__button chart__button--all-time\"\n\t\t\t\t\tid=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-btn-all-time\">All Time<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t<div class=\"chart__container\">\n\t\t<canvas class=\"chart__canvas\" id=\"crypto_chart_6a3d6122e6adc-cryptoChart\"><\/canvas>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Atualmente, o Bitcoin est\u00e1 sendo negociado a US$ 69,5 mil.<\/p>\n<p>Fundos de riqueza soberana e gestores de reservas governamentais tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o observando. A equipe de pesquisa de cripto da Fidelity observa que a din\u00e2mica da teoria dos jogos est\u00e1 se formando. Se uma na\u00e7\u00e3o adiciona Bitcoin \u00e0s suas reservas de c\u00e2mbio, a press\u00e3o para que outras sigam aumenta. Hougan cita especificamente essas correntes institucionais como os motores estruturais que tornam plaus\u00edvel a captura de 17% da reserva de valor em uma janela de dez anos.<\/p>\n<p>A escassez de oferta amplifica cada sinal de demanda. Com mais de 20 milh\u00f5es de BTC j\u00e1 minerados e um limite absoluto de 21 milh\u00f5es, n\u00e3o h\u00e1 resposta de oferta poss\u00edvel quando a demanda institucional acelera.<\/p>\n<p>A tese dos 17% de Hougan n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma previs\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin para operar no pr\u00f3ximo trimestre. \u00c9 um modelo mental para avaliar o potencial de alta do Bitcoin a longo prazo de uma forma estruturada e n\u00e3o baseada em hype.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Siga o 99Bitcoins no <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/99BitcoinsHQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">X<\/a> (Twitter) para as \u00faltimas atualiza\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado e inscreva-se no <a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/@99bitcoins\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a> para an\u00e1lises di\u00e1rias de especialistas.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways\">\n    <div class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways\">\r\n        <h2 class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__title\">\u201cPrincipais<\/h2>\r\n        <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <ul class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__list\">\r\n        <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <li class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__list-item\">\r\n        A pesquisa da Bitwise calcula que o Bitcoin precisa de apenas 17% do mercado global de reserva de valor, atualmente dominado pelo ouro, para atingir US$ 1 milh\u00e3o por moeda. Isso implica um valor de mercado de aproximadamente US$ 20 trilh\u00f5es para o Bitcoin.    <\/li>\r\n    <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <li class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__list-item\">\r\n        A tese depende da ado\u00e7\u00e3o institucional cont\u00ednua por meio de ETFs, tesourarias corporativas e eventual interesse de reservas soberanas, combinado com a oferta fixa de 21 milh\u00f5es de moedas do Bitcoin atuando como um amplificador de demanda.    <\/li>\r\n    <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <li class=\"nnbtc-key-takeaways__list-item\">\r\n        O cen\u00e1rio pessimista \u00e9 real. O Bitcoin atualmente \u00e9 negociado como um ativo de risco, e n\u00e3o como uma reserva de valor. O ouro tem s\u00e9culos de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o institucional. Al\u00e9m disso, a meta de US$ 1 milh\u00e3o \u00e9 uma tese de longo prazo, n\u00e3o uma previs\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o de curto prazo.    <\/li>\r\n    <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <\/ul>\r\n    <br aria-hidden=\"true\" \/>    <\/div>\r\n    \n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o: a mudan\u00e7a de 17% na reserva de valor explicada<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":136254,"featured_media":38655,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[51],"coin":[2],"class_list":["post-38659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o? Mudan\u00e7a de 17% na reserva de valor \u00e9 a chave - 99Bitcoins Brasil<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Em 10 de mar\u00e7o de 2026, Matt Hougan, Diretor de Investimentos da Bitwise, afirmou que o Bitcoin atingir US$ 1 milh\u00e3o por moeda n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma fantasia\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o? Mudan\u00e7a de 17% na reserva de valor \u00e9 a chave - 99Bitcoins Brasil\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Em 10 de mar\u00e7o de 2026, Matt Hougan, Diretor de Investimentos da Bitwise, afirmou que o Bitcoin atingir US$ 1 milh\u00e3o por moeda n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma fantasia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"99Bitcoins Brasil\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-11T17:09:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/featured-image-83.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1792\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Equipe editorial do 99Bitcoins\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Equipe editorial do 99Bitcoins\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/99bitcoins.com\\\/br\\\/noticias\\\/bitcoin\\\/bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/99bitcoins.com\\\/br\\\/noticias\\\/bitcoin\\\/bitcoin-a-us-1-milhao-mudanca-de-17-na-reserva-de-valor-e-a-chave\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Equipe editorial do 99Bitcoins\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/99bitcoins.com\\\/br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7ed63544911dda5f5ee710350491aa93\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin a US$ 1 milh\u00e3o? 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